Nate Silver


Nate Silver has become today’s leading statistician through his innovative analyses of political polling. He first gained national attention during the 2008 presidential election, when he correctly predicted the results of the primaries and the presidential winner in 49 states. In 2012, he called 50 of 50 states.

Nate is a pioneer of the new field of data journalism with his award-winning website FiveThirtyEight. Now in partnership with ABC News, FiveThirtyEight allows Nate to contribute to the election coverage as well as continuing to explore a wide range of areas including politics, sports, science, and more. Nate’s approach to data-driven, probabilistic thinking is one of the great ideas of our time, and we at the Leigh Bureau look forward eagerly to seeing it transform more and more fields.

Past sessions

Summit 2020 Spark + AI Summit 2020: Wednesday Afternoon Keynotes

June 23, 2020 05:00 PM PT

Dr. Phillip Atiba Goff - Racism and Policing: The Path Forward (Center for Policing Equity) - 7:50
Jennifer Chayes - Rapid Response Research for COVID-19 (UC Berkeley) - 29:52
Nate Silver - The Signal and the Noise: the Big Lessons from 20 years of Data Analysis ( - 51:07

Racism and Policing: The Path Forward
Dr. Phillip Atiba Goff

Dr. Goff conducts work exploring the ways in which racial prejudice is not a necessary precondition for racial discrimination. That is, despite the normative view of racial discrimination—that it stems from prejudiced explicit or implicit attitudes—his research demonstrates that situational factors facilitate racially unequal outcomes.

Dr. Goff’s model of evidence-based approaches to justice has been supported by the National Science Foundation, Department of Justice, Russell Sage Foundation, W.K. Kellogg Foundation, Open Society Foundations, Open Society Institute-Baltimore, Atlantic Philanthropies, William T. Grant Foundation, the COPS Office, the Major Cities Chiefs Association, the NAACP LDF, NIMH, SPSSI, the Woodrow Wilson Foundation, the Ford Foundation, and the Mellon Foundation among others. Dr. Goff was a witness for the President’s Task Force on 21st Century Policing and has presented before Members of Congress and Congressional Panels, Senate Press Briefings, and White House Advisory Councils.

Rapid Response Research for COVID-19 and Other Challenges: Machine Learning and Data Science at Cal
Prof. Jennifer Chayes

The Division of Computing, Data Science, and Society (CDSS) at UC Berkeley is advancing foundational research and educating the next generation of scientists and practitioners to leverage computing and data to take on pressing societal problems. In recent history, no societal challenge has been as far-reaching and critical as the COVID-19 pandemic. Solutions to this complex, global challenge will stress many aspects of computing and data science, from analysis of sparse, biased, and variable data; to simulation of large networks of human interaction; to sifting through biological and chemical data to find treatments and vaccines; to influencing both policy makers and public opinion more broadly.

In this talk, I will describe the overall vision of CDSS and how it is transforming education and research at UC Berkeley, building bridges across a diverse set of programs, and disrupting the traditional siloed university structure. The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated ramp-up of this new Division and the interdisciplinary research and collaboration it fosters. It also has highlighted the importance of delivering inclusive, rigorous data science education at scale, a hallmark of the Berkeley program. I will draw on examples from across campus of how computing and data are being used to address the pandemic, and how these challenges will stress the scale, performance, privacy, and resilience of the underlying data systems, driving a next generation of requirements for systems like Spark.

The Signal and the Noise: the Big Lessons from 20 Years of Data Analysis
Nate Silver

In this technical keynote, Nate will highlight his biggest lessons from the past 20 years of data analysis and how it correlates to his methodology of building the election model and challenges in forecasting.